Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Itamar Ben Gvir
Consensus 0% across 3 venues (Polymarket 0%, Kalshi 1%, PredictIt 1%). The real-money venues are 0.8 pts apart. Updated every few minutes.
Prices by venue
| Venue | Probability | Buy YES | Buy NO | Real money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? (Itamar Ben Gvir) | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ | Yes |
| Kalshi Will Itamar Ben Gvir become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election? (Itamar Ben Gvir) | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | — | Yes |
| PredictIt Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? (Itamar Ben-Gvir) | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | — | Yes |
Buy YES and buy NO are the prices of one contract that pays 1 if the market settles that way. Venues word their rules differently, so read each market's rules before comparing.
Last 7 days
Hourly buckets, last price in each. The shaded band is the gap between the highest and lowest real-money price.
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