Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: Ted Cruz
Consensus 2% across 3 venues (Polymarket 2%, Kalshi 2%, PredictIt 3%). The real-money venues are 0.4 pts apart. Updated every few minutes.
Prices by venue
| Venue | Probability | Buy YES | Buy NO | Real money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? (Ted Cruz) | 2.4% | 2.4¢ | 97.7¢ | Yes |
| Kalshi Will Ted Cruz be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (Ted Cruz) | 2.1% | 2.2¢ | 97.9¢ | Yes |
| PredictIt Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? (Ted Cruz) | 2.5% | 3.0¢ | 98.0¢ | Yes |
Buy YES and buy NO are the prices of one contract that pays 1 if the market settles that way. Venues word their rules differently, so read each market's rules before comparing.
Last 7 days
Hourly buckets, last price in each. The shaded band is the gap between the highest and lowest real-money price.
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