North Carolina State Senate winner?: Republican party
Consensus 66% across 2 venues (Kalshi 89%, PredictIt 7%). The real-money venues are 81.5 pts apart. Updated every few minutes.
Prices by venue
| Venue | Probability | Buy YES | Buy NO | Real money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Who will win the North Carolina State Senate? (Republican party) | 88.5% | 89.0¢ | 12.0¢ | Yes |
| PredictIt Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in North Carolina? (Republican) | 7.0% | 8.0¢ | 94.0¢ | Yes |
Buy YES and buy NO are the prices of one contract that pays 1 if the market settles that way. Venues word their rules differently, so read each market's rules before comparing.
Last 7 days
Hourly buckets, last price in each. The shaded band is the gap between the highest and lowest real-money price.
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