Presidential Election Winner 2028: Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Consensus 2% across 2 venues (Polymarket 2%, Kalshi 7%). The real-money venues are 5.0 pts apart. Updated every few minutes.

Consensus
2.0%
Gap between venues
5.0 pts
Venues
2
Closes
Nov 7, 2028

Prices by venue

VenueProbabilityBuy YESBuy NOReal money
Polymarket
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? (Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson)
1.6%1.6¢98.5¢Yes
Kalshi
Will Dwayne Johnson announce a run for President of the United States in 2028? (Dwayne Johnson)
6.5%7.0¢94.0¢Yes

Buy YES and buy NO are the prices of one contract that pays 1 if the market settles that way. Venues word their rules differently, so read each market's rules before comparing.

Last 7 days

Hourly buckets, last price in each. The shaded band is the gap between the highest and lowest real-money price.

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