2028 Democratic presidential nominee: Jon Ossoff
Consensus 15% across 3 venues (Polymarket 14%, Kalshi 14%, PredictIt 20%). The real-money venues are 5.5 pts apart. Updated every few minutes.
Prices by venue
| Venue | Probability | Buy YES | Buy NO | Real money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? (Jon Ossoff) | 14.1% | 14.1¢ | 86.0¢ | Yes |
| Kalshi Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? (Jon Ossoff) | 14.5% | 15.0¢ | 86.0¢ | Yes |
| PredictIt Who will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? (Jon Ossoff) | 19.5% | 20.0¢ | 81.0¢ | Yes |
Buy YES and buy NO are the prices of one contract that pays 1 if the market settles that way. Venues word their rules differently, so read each market's rules before comparing.
Last 7 days
Hourly buckets, last price in each. The shaded band is the gap between the highest and lowest real-money price.
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