2028 Republican presidential nominee: Donald J. Trump Jr.
Consensus 2% across 3 venues (Polymarket 2%, Kalshi 3%, PredictIt 4%). The real-money venues are 1.8 pts apart. Updated every few minutes.
Prices by venue
| Venue | Probability | Buy YES | Buy NO | Real money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? (Donald Trump Jr.) | 1.7% | 1.7¢ | 98.4¢ | Yes |
| Kalshi Will Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (Donald J. Trump Jr.) | 2.6% | 2.7¢ | 97.4¢ | Yes |
| PredictIt Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? (Donald Trump Jr.) | 3.5% | 4.0¢ | 97.0¢ | Yes |
Buy YES and buy NO are the prices of one contract that pays 1 if the market settles that way. Venues word their rules differently, so read each market's rules before comparing.
Last 7 days
Hourly buckets, last price in each. The shaded band is the gap between the highest and lowest real-money price.
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