Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 15, 2026?: 82° or below
Consensus 46% across 2 venues (Polymarket 100%, Kalshi 1%). The real-money venues are 98.9 pts apart. Updated every few minutes.
Prices by venue
| Venue | Probability | Buy YES | Buy NO | Real money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 15? (82-83°F) | 99.9% | 0.1¢ | — | Yes |
| Kalshi Will the maximum temperature be <83° on Oct 15, 2026? (82° or below) | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | — | Yes |
Buy YES and buy NO are the prices of one contract that pays 1 if the market settles that way. Venues word their rules differently, so read each market's rules before comparing.
Last 7 days
Hourly buckets, last price in each. The shaded band is the gap between the highest and lowest real-money price.
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