Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?: Markwayne Mullin
Consensus 5% across 2 venues (Kalshi 5%, PredictIt 5%). The real-money venues are 0.0 pts apart. Updated every few minutes.
Prices by venue
| Venue | Probability | Buy YES | Buy NO | Real money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Will Markwayne Mullin be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet? (Markwayne Mullin) | 5.0% | 6.0¢ | 96.0¢ | Yes |
| PredictIt Who will be the next Cabinet member to leave office? (Markwayne Mullin) | 5.0% | 7.0¢ | 97.0¢ | Yes |
Buy YES and buy NO are the prices of one contract that pays 1 if the market settles that way. Venues word their rules differently, so read each market's rules before comparing.
Last 7 days
Hourly buckets, last price in each. The shaded band is the gap between the highest and lowest real-money price.
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