US gas prices on Election Day: Above 5.00
Consensus 5% across 2 venues (Kalshi 5%, Manifold 4%). The real-money venues are 0.0 pts apart. Updated every few minutes.
Prices by venue
| Venue | Probability | Buy YES | Buy NO | Real money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Will average **gas prices** be above $5.00? (Above 5.00) | 5.0% | 6.0¢ | 96.0¢ | Yes |
| Manifold US Average Gas Price Is $5.000 or more on Election Day 2026? | 4.0% | — | — | No, signal only |
Buy YES and buy NO are the prices of one contract that pays 1 if the market settles that way. Venues word their rules differently, so read each market's rules before comparing.
Last 7 days
Hourly buckets, last price in each. The shaded band is the gap between the highest and lowest real-money price.
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<iframe src="https://huebr.net/embed/evt_bb7c675b4dbf" width="100%" height="230" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;max-width:480px" title="Live odds by huebr" loading="lazy"></iframe>Give your agent this data
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