Bitcoin above ___ on October 16?: 86,000
Consensus 1% across 2 venues (Polymarket 1%, Kalshi 1%). The real-money venues are 0.1 pts apart. Updated every few minutes.
Prices by venue
| Venue | Probability | Buy YES | Buy NO | Real money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16? (86,000) | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ | Yes |
| Kalshi Bitcoin price on Oct 16, 2026? ($86,000 or above) | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | — | Yes |
Buy YES and buy NO are the prices of one contract that pays 1 if the market settles that way. Venues word their rules differently, so read each market's rules before comparing.
Last 7 days
Hourly buckets, last price in each. The shaded band is the gap between the highest and lowest real-money price.
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<iframe src="https://huebr.net/embed/evt_c499d6e10aa1" width="100%" height="230" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;max-width:480px" title="Live odds by huebr" loading="lazy"></iframe>Give your agent this data
These prices come from the huebr engine. Agents can read them over MCP with no key, and code can use the REST API (this page is /v1/events/evt_c499d6e10aa1). Arbitrage and mispricing signals are paid per call or with a Pro key.