Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 15, 2026?: 78° to 79°
Consensus 1% across 2 venues (Polymarket 0%, Kalshi 1%). The real-money venues are 0.9 pts apart. Updated every few minutes.
Consensus
0.9%
Gap between venues
0.9 pts
Venues
2
Closes
Oct 15, 2026
Prices by venue
| Venue | Probability | Buy YES | Buy NO | Real money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 15? (78-79°F) | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | — | Yes |
| Kalshi Will the maximum temperature be 78-79° on Oct 15, 2026? (78° to 79°) | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | — | Yes |
Buy YES and buy NO are the prices of one contract that pays 1 if the market settles that way. Venues word their rules differently, so read each market's rules before comparing.
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